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Dollar rallies as the Euro continues to suffer

Disclaimer: THIS MATERIAL IS NOT INVESTMENT RESEARCH AS DEFINED BY THE FINANCIAL SERVICES AUTHORITY

The US dollar has been the currency of choice in recent weeks. Traders have been aggressively selling Euro/dollar from its over bought levels. The chaos in the Euro Zone continues and until Greece gets bailed out the path of least resistance for the Euro is down.

The US dollar buying has also pressurised Sterling, pushing cable through the October low of 1.5706 last week. Cable found support at 1.5534 on Monday and the pound rallied to the 1.5760 region. The selling has continued today and the pound is currently trading back at 1.5574 against the dollar. A break of 1.5534 should see a swift move to 1.5480 where it is expected sterling will be supported in the short term. At this stage we cannot rule out a potential 50% retracement of the longer term wave up from the 1.35 low to the August high of 1.7042.

Against the Euro, Sterling encountered some resistance last week at the 1.1625 level, the 78.6% retracement from the June high to the October low. Analysts expect the pound to retest the 1.12 level before any potential further upside. The 1.12-1.13 region is now a strong support level for the pound.

Wednesday 10 February 2010, 03:49pm

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